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The sudden price spike
has aggravated the suffering of millions
of families whose daily income is only around
100 rupees, especially because roti, a round,
flat bread made of wheat flour, is part
of every meal.
"Benazir Bhutto
was a great leader, and I am mourning her
death, but what is important for me right
now is to get the wheat flour that keeps
me and my seven family members alive,"
said housewife Yasmin Bibi, 50. Like millions
of low-income citizens across the country,
Bibi has been forced to queue for several
hours every few days outside a state-run
grocery store in the garrison city of Rawalpindi
that provides cheap flour.
Thousands of people
took to the streets in several cities and
towns across the country in protest, and
commentators have warned that such demonstrations
could increase if the wheat crisis is not
overcome quickly.
"We always hear
the government claiming that the country
is making huge economic progress. Where
is that economic progress?" carpenter
Amjad Hussain asked. "If there is,
only the riches have benefited from it.
For us, there is only starvation. This man
[Musharraf] has even snatched roti from
us."
Government officials
have blamed high international wheat prices,
hoarding by local traders and smuggling
to Afghanistan, which is also in the grip
of a wheat shortage. But experts said the
responsibility lies with the government,
whose estimates about the 2007 wheat crop
were hugely flawed.
"Pakistan produces
90 percent of its wheat demand," economist
Qaisar Bengali said. "High international
prices could only have an effect on 10 percent
of our 23 million tonnes of consumption.
Mismanagement on the part of the government
is the sole reason for this shortage."
In early 2007, the
government allowed the export of 1.6 million
tonnes of wheat, saying Pakistan was going
to have a surplus crop. However, it realized
only a few months later that the wheat crop
would be no more than the usually intake
of around 20 million tonnes. By then, there
were indications that a shortage was eminent
and traders began holding onto their stocks,
Bengali said.
In the wake of Bhutto's
assassination and the continuation of political
violence, including a suicide bombing Thursday
that killed 23 people, a wheat flour crisis
was the last thing Musharraf and his political
backers wanted only a few weeks before the
polls.
"The shortage
can multiply the public's resentment of
Bhutto's murder," political analyst
Hassan Askari Rizvi said. "If the situation
deteriorates further, wheat flour could
play a decisive role on election day."
If Musharraf's government
does not handle the crisis properly, it
could be the final blow for the president,
whose popularity is already at its lowest
level since he seized power in a bloodless
coup in 1999, Rizvi said.
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